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Uzbek soum continues to strengthen: Up 0.56% against the dollar since the start of the year

Uzbek soum continues to strengthen: Up 0.56% against the dollar since the start of the year
Uzbek soum continues to strengthen: Up 0.56% against the dollar since the start of the year / Photo: UzDaily.

Tashkent, Uzbekistan (UzDaily.uz) — As of 29 May 2025, the U.S. dollar stands at 12,826 Uzbek soums. This indicates that over the past week, the national currency of Uzbekistan appreciated by 0.56%. The previous week also saw a gain of 0.65%.

These consistent upward movements have largely offset the slump in the exchange rate observed in the first half of May. As a result, by the end of the month, the soum has returned to a more balanced position. Over the month of May, the currency strengthened by 0.53% against the U.S. dollar. From the beginning of the year through late May, the soum has appreciated by 0.56%.

The overall trend for the first five months of 2025 is characterized as broadly sideways with a bias toward strengthening.

In April, Uzbekistan exported $1.91 billion worth of gold, bringing total gold exports for the year to $5.48 billion. In the first four months of 2025, the country's foreign trade turnover reached $24.6 billion, marking a 16.3% increase compared to the same period last year. The main driver of this growth has been the surge in exports, which rose to $11.88 billion (+35.1%), while imports increased by only 2.9%, reaching $12.72 billion. As a result, the trade deficit narrowed significantly to $846.3 million, compared to $3.58 billion in 2024.

Despite the overall rise in trade, exports of textiles, automobiles, iron and steel, and petroleum products declined.

China remains Uzbekistan’s largest trading partner with a turnover of $4.18 billion, followed by Russia at $3.7 billion. Notably, trade with China rose by 5.6% in the first four months, while trade with Russia fell by 3%.

Overall, the data is seen as neutral for the soum.

According to Anna Bodrova, analyst at Alpari, the USD/UZS pair is expected to fluctuate between 12,800 and 12,960 soums in the coming week.

Anna Bodrova
Anna Bodrova

Financial analyst specializing in currency and commodity markets, macroeconomics, and global currencies. Graduated from Moscow State Regional University (MGOU) and Rostov State University of Economics (RINH). Has worked at the company since 2013 and has ranked among the most-cited financial analysts in the CIS since 2016.